Karnataka Polls Results: Who will become Karnataka CM?

Bengaluru, May 15: The exit and opinion polls and envisaging various scenarios. The counting results look at five possible scenarios, which are still going on.


# BJP leading in 108 seats with 48% and
# Congress has 73 seats with 326%
# JDS has 38 seats with 17%
# Other parties 3 seats with 1.3%

Congress crosses the half-way mark

Chief Minister Siddaramaiah is leading in Badami but loses Chamundeshwari seat

BJP crosses the half-way mark

The party will form the government with B S Yeddyurappa as chief minister, He is leading in shikaripura. Ballari MP B Sreeramulu, who is contesting from two seats.

Kumaraswamy has made it clear that he is in the race for Chief Ministership, with claims that his party will win full majority

JD(S) becomes king with outside support

JD(S) may form the government with H D Kumaraswamy as chief minister with outside support either from BJP or Congress. BJP might agree to support JD(S)from outside keeping the 2019 Lok Sabha elections in mind and also its resolve to have a Congress-mukt Bharat. Congress might also give outside support to JD(S) to keep BJP out of power and to further its plan of stitching a grand alliance prior to 2019 Lok Sabha polls to face BJP.

Congress becomes largest party

The party enters into a power-sharing agreement with JD(S) and also draws support from independents to shore up its numbers. The terms and conditions of the deal are subject to the bargaining strength JD(S) draws from its numbers.

In such a scenario, Siddaramaiah may not be the choice for the CM's post owing to his 'soured' relations with the JD(S) leadership and a new face may emerge from Congress for the top post. Kumaraswamy may become the CM in case of an equitable arrangement where both parties get the post for 30 months each.

BJP becomes largest party

The saffron party may strike a deal with the JD(S). Again the details of the power-sharing agreement depend on the numbers the latter has. In case of a 30:30 arrangement, where the two parties will have their CM for 30 months by turn, BJP is unlikely to concede the first claim on the post to JD(S), given its previous experience with the latter. After agreeing to a 20:20 arrangement and occupying the CM's post for 20 months, Kumaraswamy had refused to vacate the chair for BJP's Yeddyurappa.